Scenario Edge

Scenario Edge is a portfolio analysis tool designed for individual investors and active traders who want to understand how their holdings might perform under hypothetical macro events like interest rate shifts, geopolitical conflicts, or commodity spikes. Unlike generic risk models, it simulates scenarios and delivers per-holding projected prices at 6, 12, and 24 months, backed by transparent evidence and confidence scoring. The platform supports stocks, ETFs, and crypto from major exchanges (NASDAQ, LSE, ASX, HKEX), letting users build portfolios and describe a scenario or choose from a library of over 3,200 predefined ones. Key capabilities include evidence-backed reasoning with source citations, multi-factor confidence scoring, sensitivity mapping to rates and inflation, and a live evidence pipeline that gathers financial filings and news. The tool evaluates every projection through a transparent pipeline that scores evidence quality (Tier 1: SEC filings; Tier 2: major news; Tier 3: general research) and flags overconfidence. Users get plain-English explanations alongside numbers, with scenario-specific impact labels like "Strong Positive" or "Moderate Negative." Pricing is freemium with a free tier (1 scenario run/month, demo portfolios only) and paid plans: Starter ($49/month, 5 runs, 3 portfolios) and Pro ($199/month, 30 runs, unlimited portfolios). Extra runs can be purchased on demand ($7 for Starter, $5 for Pro). Exports, side-by-side scenario comparison, and deeper research mode are available on paid plans. Compared to tools like Bloomberg's risk analytics or financial advisor platforms, Scenario Edge offers more accessible, evidence-grounded stress-testing for individuals, but lacks real-time data integration and institutional-grade features like team collaboration or API access.