Foresight by Lightning Rod vs ScreenplayIQ
Side-by-side comparison of features, pricing, and ratings
At a glance
| Dimension | Foresight by Lightning Rod | ScreenplayIQ |
|---|---|---|
| Target User | Developers, prediction market bots, enterprise risk analysts | Screenwriters, producers, studio execs |
| Core Capability | Calibrated probabilistic forecasting for any future event | Screenplay analysis & box office prediction |
| Integrations | OpenAI SDK, Polymarket, ProphetArena, MIMIC-III, SEC EDGAR | PitchTrailer |
| API Access | Yes (primary interface) | Yes (Studio plan) |
| Benchmark Performance | Brier Skill Score up to 26% (v4 Full), beats GPT-5, Gemini, Opus | Not publicly benchmarked |
ScreenplayIQ and Foresight serve entirely different markets — one for narrative script analysis with box office predictions, the other for quantitative probabilistic forecasting. If you're a screenwriter or producer seeking AI-driven feedback on script marketability, ScreenplayIQ's free tier and affordable Pro plan are ideal. If you're a developer or enterprise needing calibrated probability forecasts for events, Foresight's API outperforms frontier LLMs at lower cost. Choose based on your domain; they are not substitutes.
Forecasting API that returns calibrated probabilities for future events, at $6 per 1M output tokens.
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Who should pick which
- Solo screenwriterPick: ScreenplayIQ
ScreenplayIQ's free tier provides one analysis per month, and the Pro plan at $19/month offers unlimited analyses with comparative market data, perfect for individual writers.
- Prediction market bot developerPick: Foresight by Lightning Rod
Foresight's API is specifically designed for calibrated probabilistic forecasts, integrates with Polymarket, and outperforms frontier models.
- Film producer evaluating scriptsPick: ScreenplayIQ
ScreenplayIQ's box office prediction and comparative market data help producers gauge commercial potential of scripts.
- Enterprise risk analystPick: Foresight by Lightning Rod
Foresight's forecasting API supports supply chain, clinical, and SEC filing risk analysis with calibrated probabilities.
- Studio executive making slate decisionsPick: ScreenplayIQ
ScreenplayIQ's collaborative workspace (Studio plan) and quantitative analysis support data-driven slate decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
Foresight by Lightning Rod vs ScreenplayIQ: which should you choose?
ScreenplayIQ and Foresight serve entirely different markets — one for narrative script analysis with box office predictions, the other for quantitative probabilistic forecasting. If you're a screenwriter or producer seeking AI-driven feedback on script marketability, ScreenplayIQ's free tier and affordable Pro plan are ideal. If you're a developer or enterprise needing calibrated probability forecasts for events, Foresight's API outperforms frontier LLMs at lower cost. Choose based on your domain; they are not substitutes.
Can ScreenplayIQ analyze TV scripts?
No, it only supports English feature films up to 150 pages.
Does Foresight offer a free tier?
No, it is a paid API with usage-based pricing.
Can I use Foresight for general chatbot responses?
It is not designed for general-purpose chat; it returns calibrated probabilities, not text generation.
What integrations does ScreenplayIQ have?
It integrates with PitchTrailer for pitch deck generation.
How does Foresight's accuracy compare to GPT-5?
Foresight v4 Full achieves a 26% Brier Skill Score, outperforming GPT-5, Gemini, and Opus on forecasting benchmarks.
Is ScreenplayIQ's API available on lower tiers?
API access is only included in the Studio plan ($49/mo).
What training method does Foresight use?
Future-as-Label reinforcement learning, learning directly from real-world outcomes.
Does ScreenplayIQ provide line-by-line editing?
No, it focuses on structural and market analysis, not grammar or line editing.
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Last reviewed: July 2, 2026